Sunday, June 25, 2017

Sensex Trading Range Indicator


Most of the time, the Sensex trades between and around x,y & z
Whenever the Sensex crosses above all 3, a correction sets in sooner than later and vice versa when the Sensex goes below all 3.

This technique has been back-tested for the last 6400+ trading days [since January 1991] with consistent accuracy.

During periods of sustained rallies and extended corrections - the 3 variables - x,y&z stood as signposts for probable Sensex levels.

When the Sensex manages to hold itself above all 3, keep the trailing #stoploss at the highest of the 3 variables - x,y & z.

Similarly, when the Sensex is below all 3, the variable immediately above the Sensex acts as a Resistance for the index.

This technique is slightly finer than Bollinger Bands and can be calculated on the EOD data using a simple spreadsheet.

It can be used on any liquid stock, index or future with at least 21 days of EOD data.

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