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Sunday, September 25, 2016

The Sensex Outlook for the Week Starting 26-09-2016

Over the week gone by, the Sensex managed to range itself between 28460  & 28872, more or less in-line with the outlook given in this column last week. With the F&O expiry coming up , the Sensex will continue to consolidate in a tight band. We can hope to see a dash towards 29000/29200 by October 1st week, subject to 28533 not being broken on a closing basis.

Date
26-Sep-16
S2
28,594
S1
28,627
Sensex Previous Close
                                    28,668.22
R1
28,707
R2
28,795
Sensex Fair Value
26,876


Weekly Newsletter 25-09-2016


Indices Watch 23-09-2016
Index
Previous Close
Open
High
Low
Close
% Change
S&P BSE SENSEX
28773.13
28810.32
28825.09
28627.38
28,668.22
-0.36
S&P BSE MidCap
13294.56
13314.34
13398.71
13303.68
13331.97
0.28
Nifty 50
8867.45
8880.75
23375.55
8820.3
8,831.55
-0.40
Nifty Next 50
23220.7
23266.7
10446.9
23217.2
23246.95
0.11
Nifty IT
10397.15
10426.1
10446.9
10376.8
10391.05
-0.06
Nifty Bank
20109.6
20136.75
20137.55
19861.45
19901.8
-1.03
Nifty 500
7573
7587.7
7592.45
7547.15
7554.9
-0.24

Weekly Change
Index
16-Sep-2016
23-Sep-2016
Change(Pts)
Average Daily Volume (` Crores)
Change in Volume (% over previous week)
S&P BSE SENSEX
28599.03
28668.22
69.19
3872.1
9.18
Nifty 50
8779.85
8831.55
51.7
20741.5
-11.81

US$, 10 Year Bond Yield & Sensex Earnings Yield
Date
`/$
10 Year G-Sec Yield
Sensex Earnings Yield %
22-Sep-16
66.85
7.1015
4.577
23-Sep-16
66.65
7.0306
4.589

Inflation
The annual rate of inflation, based on monthly WPI
Inflation (%)
Aug-2016
3.74
Jul-2016
3.55

Weekly Wrap
Date
Outlook*
Index
% Change
19-Sep-2016
http://blog.raghavs-picks.com/2016/09/the-sensex-outlook-for-week-starting-19.html
S&P BSE SENSEX
0.12
S&P BSE MidCap
0.63
Nifty 50
0.33
Nifty Next 50
0.29
20-Sep-2016
http://blog.raghavs-picks.com/2016/09/the-sensex-outlook-for-day-20-09-2016.html
S&P BSE SENSEX
-0.39
S&P BSE MidCap
-0.09
Nifty 50
-0.37
Nifty Next 50
0.01
21-Sep-2016
http://blog.raghavs-picks.com/2016/09/the-sensex-outlook-for-day-21-09-2016.html
S&P BSE SENSEX
-0.06
S&P BSE MidCap
-0.07
Nifty 50
0.01
Nifty Next 50
-0.06
22-Sep-2016
http://blog.raghavs-picks.com/2016/09/the-sensex-outlook-for-day-22-09-2016.html
S&P BSE SENSEX
0.93
S&P BSE MidCap
1.39
Nifty 50
1.03
Nifty Next 50
1.30
23-Sep-2016
http://blog.raghavs-picks.com/2016/09/the-sensex-outlook-for-day-23-09-2016.html
S&P BSE SENSEX
-0.36
S&P BSE MidCap
0.28
Nifty 50
-0.40
Nifty Next 50
0.11

*The Outlook is as that was given in my premium newsletter & on http://blog.raghavs-picks.com before the particular trading day.

Sensex Levels to Watch & Fair Value
Date
26-Sep-16
S2
28,594
S1
28,627
Sensex Previous Close
                                    28,668.22
R1
28,707
R2
28,795
Sensex Fair Value
26,876

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